Washington: Historian Alan Lichtman, who is known for accurately predicting presidential outcomes, has made a big prediction regarding the US presidential election. He has said that Kamala Harris will win the 2024 US presidential election. Despite tight polls showing a tight race with Donald Trump, Lichtman remains confident in his forecast.
He emphasized that his predictions are based on a long-standing method called “The Keys to the White House,” which he developed with Vladimir Kelis-Borok in 1981. Lichtman’s prediction system evaluates 13 key factors, such as the party’s position in Congress, economic conditions, scandals, social unrest, and the candidate’s charisma. He points out that these indicators have historically provided reliable forecasts. Currently, they think eight key factors provide “true” answers, supporting the assumption of a Harris victory.
Read- US Elections: This beauty came out sweating for Kamala Harris, she has been a Grammy winner.
Lichtman is receiving threats regarding his prediction.
Lichtman acknowledged facing unprecedented backlash for his predictions this election cycle. He told that he has received obscene and threatening messages. He claimed that he has also received threats against his family members. This level of hostility is unlike anything he has faced in previous elections.
Although Lichtman remains optimistic about his forecast, he says that foreign policy can influence the results. He noted the Joe Biden administration’s involvement in the Gaza conflict, which could change important factors in his analysis. However, he believes that given the current political landscape, even completely changing the foreign policy landscape will not be enough for Trump to reclaim the presidency.
Who is Alan Lichtman?
Alan Lichtman is a historian and political analyst, known for his accurate predictions of US presidential elections. Using a method called “The Keys to the White House,” he has correctly predicted the results of nine out of ten elections since 1984.
Tags: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, US Election, us elections
FIRST PUBLISHED: October 27, 2024, 09:46 IST
