Polymarket users who consider Donald Trump as the winner of the presidential elections in the United States have decreased drastically in just 2 days, while Kamala Harris begins to regain advantage.
Polymarket is a cryptocurrency betting platform that has gained popularity, not only for those who enjoy challenging luck, but because it has become a tool to measure people’s feelings in various scenarios of politics, the market and even politics. pop culture.
The United States presidential elections have played a leading role in Polymarket. Since January, when the possibility of betting on the winner of the elections was opened, Trump has remained in the lead most of the time. In fact, in mid-July, 71.5% of participants in this bet thought Trump would win.
After a head-to-head fight during August and September between Harris and Trump, the former president began to regain the advantage in October, as CriptoNoticias reported at the time.
By October 30, Trump reached 67% of bets in his favor. However, a couple of days later, the option of the Republican candidate fell to 57.3%. While the lead was still wide, the loss of almost 10 points in such a short time was dramatic.
As this article is being written, those who believe former President Trump will win the election have regained some ground and exceed 59% among the participants.
It is worth noting that many American pollsters and media outlets reflect much closer figures between both candidates. To the point that, in states like Pennsylvaniathere is talk of a tie between Democrats and Republicans. However, it makes sense that on a platform where you freely gamble with cryptocurrencies, most users show some affinity with Trump, due to his opening speech on the use of bitcoin (BTC).
It is also important to highlight that the platform Polymarket does not allow residents of the United States to participate in their betting surveys. This is to avoid legal problems with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the entity that supervises the derivatives markets in the North American nation.
The fact that Americans cannot express their perspective regarding their country’s presidential elections in Polymarket leaves the statistics reflected in this survey in the hands of foreigners. Although, in the end, the result is in the hands of the voters and not the bettors.