What does Syria’s future look like? – DW – 05/15/2025

This week, Syrian, full of hope and happiness, took it to the streets across the country to celebrate once more. After the announcement of US President Donald Trump that he wanted to meet crippled sanctions on the country after a 45 -year international separation, the future of the war -torn country looks very bright.

Trump announced in Saudi Arabia during a visit to several Gulf states in Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, “We are time to shine. We are removing them all.” “Good luck Syria, show us something very special.”

The Syrian Foreign Ministry called the announcement a “decisive turn point” and “for Syria and the Syrian people led by Syrian people and under the leadership of Syrian people to carry forward stability, self -reliance and meaningful national reconstruction.”

Syrians celebrate the end of the Syrian flag -carrying US sanctions
For Syrians, the end of US sanctions means economic relief, reconstruction and most likely that many Syrian refugees return from abroadPicture: Imageo/Nurfoto

Unknown details

However, it is not clear whether the relief of restrictions will be in specific areas, such as international humanitarian aid, banking or general business, or if the end of US restrictions is subject to certain conditions. The European Union has lifted some restrictions on Syria but other people are in place. On Thursday, Bloc’s foreign policy head, Kaza Kalas, proposed to lose the restrictions on Syria.

“We still need to see whether the words of Trump turn into action with a wide range of measures in the country,” said Julian Barns-Dacy, director of the Middle East and North Africa Program at the European Council on Foreign Relations, or ECFR. “This can be a process that takes more time than many Syrians,” he said.

“Nevertheless, if the major American measures can be removed, and it is associated with the stabilization of the security environment on the ground, it will create a much better situation, which will increase the flow of immediate economic support, without which the new government is really going to struggle,” said Barns Daisy.

In the last six months, there have been massive changes in Syria. In December, the country’s dictator Bashar Asad was excluded by a coalition of rebel groups led by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, or HTS. The group was led by Ahmed al-Shara, who now serves as the interim president of the country. This ended civil was in the country after about 14 years. In Syria, reconstruction can be spent anywhere between $ 400 billion and $ 1 trillion (€ 890BN).

Al-Shara has promised to bring all various political and religious groups in Syria into the new government. However, many violent incidents remain doubt, which determine the majority Sunni population against minority groups and it is clear that the new Syrian government has not yet fully controlled security in the country.

Nevertheless, in Trump’s view, Al-Shra, which was involved in the east with more extremist groups, including al Qaeda, “got a real shot in keeping it together.”

“He is a real leader,” said Trump.

LR Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, US President Donald Trump and Syria's interim President Ahmed Al-Shraa
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (left) had earlier urged America to lift the sanctions on Syria, as TurkishPicture: Imageo

strings attached?

According to the White House press secretary Karolin Levit, with the lifting of restrictions, Trump, so Oriy Syria to do five things.

“Sign the Abraham agreement with Israel; 2. Ask all foreign terrorists to leave Syria; Third Palestinian terrorist; 4. Help the United States to prevent the resurrection of ISIS;

Trump Himfla said that Syria agreed to recognize Israel, once Syria “straightened.”

But there was no official confirmation from Damascus, as it would be between the Abraham Agreement, a set of Israel and Arab countries amidst the American brokerage agreements.

Syrian analyst Nanar Hawach in the International Crisis Group said, “Better relations with Israel will import that Israel has become a major unstable actor in Syria since the collapse of Assad.

“They are bees who are holding hundreds of air strikes on Syrian military capabilities and an attack in the Syrian region in the south – and without reaching some understanding, Israel probably wants to continue as this unstable factor,” he said.

Any close relationship with Israel will create internal pressure on al-show, Hawacch said. Historically, Syria and Israel are enemies, and in 1948 there have been many struggles of the foundation of Sion Israel. “But the benefits probably want potentially potential backlash,” Hawacch told DW.

Israel is yet to comment on potential diplomatic relations with the new Syrian government. For Iran and Hizbullah, Israel’s concerns over the previous relationship of the Syrian regime, and the fear of attacking its border, as on October 7: 2023 by the Gaza-based Hamas Group, may be convinced by new diplomatic relations.

Fourh and Fifth Point, “To prevent the resurrection of ISIS to the US, to help and consider the responsibility camps, the Housing members of the extremist” Islamic State “(IS) believe that there may be another indication that we are planning to withdraw our troops from North Hosters Syria. There are several thousand supporters and their families live in various detention centers run by the Syrian Kurdish-laid forces, supported by American soldiers.

Syrian school children wearing their winter jackets in a classroom
The United Nations Inquiry Commission estimated that during the civil war, Betty 2011 and May 2021, more than 580,000 people were killed.Image: Diya images/Abaka/Picture Alliance

Expected to return to Syrian

For the chrysis group’s wind, finally the restrictions not only want to affect economic reforms. “Economic collapse has fulfilled insecurity by eradicating infrastructure, deepening local grievances and pushing people towards armed groups,” he told DW. “Lifting the restrictions can help in reverse the dynamic.”

More Syrian refugees may be ready to return, the Middle East researcher Kelly Petilo at the ECFR told DW.

Syria is one of the world’s largest refugee crises. Since 2011, more than 14 million Syrians have fled from their homes in search of security, except about 6 million countries and the rest have been displaced internally, according to the United Nations.

After dismissing Assad, some 1.87 million Syrians, both were internally displaced and returning from abroad, have already returned to their communities, A New report The UN was released on Wednesday from the International Organization for Migration. The report said, “But economic difficulty and lack of essential services are obstructing recovery efforts.”

The scene has been echoed by Petilo, “The first thing when it comes to Syrian refugees from my experience, when it comes to the reasons why they hesitate to return to Syria, there is a overall position of economic condition and infrastructure, living conditions and basic needs.”

Petilo told DW, “Many people want to return, so we look at the concrete results of land sanctions.” But the relief of restrictions is not all that needs to argue. “If we want to get permanent and voluntary returns, we need to ensure security and socio-economic rights for all Syrians.”

From Riyadh to Damascus: Trump’s Middle East Reset?

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Edited by: Cathrin Sherler

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