Only 85 kilometers (53 mi) separates Lebanon and Syrian capitals. But in Damascus, the recent political development border and the newly elected President of Lebanon, Joseph Aown may give over-over-consequences, which is paying attention to.
Earlier this week, US President Donald Trump announced his intention to lift sanctions on Syria for decades. While the details of those schemes are unclear, such a step paved the way for rebuilding international markets for Damascus, attracting forgent investment and gaining diplomatic support from Washington, Saudi Arabia and several Gulf states.
“Stability in Syria positively wants Lebanon and Entry Area,” AON called it a “courageous decision” by the US after the announcement of Trump on Tuesday.
Refugee and reconstruction
More than 1.5 million displaced Syrian – several unspecified – escaped in neighboring Lebanon since the onset of the country’s civil war in 2011, in 2011 UNHCR, United Nations Refugee Agency, Report.
Berut has repeatedly called him to return, arguing to take out the former dictator Bashar Assad last year, opening the path of reimbursement.
“We can no longer classify them as strictly as refugees,” AON said, who took over to end the two -year political deadlock in January, in which many people are now classified as economic migrants, instead of individuals requiring that shelter safety.
Lebanon continues to face his own major internal challenges. Inflation increases in the country, 250%at one point, a collapsed banking sector decline and political upheaval years. According to Human Rights Watch, more than 80% of the population remains below the poverty line.
There are more complex cases in the regional institute. The conflict between Israel and Hizbullah in Lebanon and attacks from across the border, which are widely stopped after the November 2024 ceasefire, is placed for additional burden on the country. The World Bank estimates that Lebanon will require approximately € 9.83 billion ($ 11 billion) to assist the regional conflict, political and economic turmoil and 2020 Beerut port explosion after years of reconstruction and recovery needs.
‘Integration Extrades Competition’ for Syria and Lebanon
As Syria begins to connect with another country, some analysts worry that Lebanon can be left behind and is not able to keep coordination with the rate of cross -border changes.
Sami Nader, director of the Washington-based Institute for Strategic Affair, said, “If Damascus asked Berut to reconcile with the Gulf states and establish geopolitical relations in the region, it would have the advantage of confiscating politics and economic opportunities,” said Sami Nadar, Director of Washington-based Institute for Strategic Affair.
On the other hand, Lebanon, which is much smaller in the size and population than the Syria, can be beneficial, the Natadar believes.
“Lebanese market, which works around 5 million, and the Syrian market, which works around 20 million, can become a huge market,” Heer said, “is an important corridor for the export of Lehani goods by Syria land.”
He said that lifting the restrictions, the land may motivate to open the corridor, which in turn will connect Lebanon to Jordan, Irakand Gulf countries.
“Economic integration between Lebanon and Syria wants to excel any competition between these two countries,” Nadar concluded.
Lebanese Finance Minister, Yasin Jabar, resonated the thesis emotions, told Lebanon Today i Potential projects of newspapers, such as the passage of Iraqi oil for “Tripoli refinery, establish a fiber optic line, electrical connections between five countries, as well as gas and electricity transport from Egypt and Jordan to Lebanon, represents” for the country “for” positive sign “.
Hence the Lebanese companies are expected to contribute to the reconstruction of the Syrian infrastructure, most of which were damaged during the citizens.
Give a highest priority to refugees
It is not clear that when – if – any one wants to lift the ban.
“Syria knows that the US has expressed the will to lift all sanctions on Syria, but it could be more complex to get in reality,” Kelly Petilo, the Middle East researcher told DW in foreign relations on the European Council.
Removing the restrictions, Petilo believes that those in Syria will benefit, many of whom are living in temporary housing and have been displaced several times.
Petilo warned, however, against people returning to Syria.
“For someone who has been away from Syria for years, it will take a long time to decide to return – even with financial relief.”
J. Edited by wingard
