In an Altseason, most cryptocurrencies exceed Bitcoin’s yields.
The Altseason is already underway, says Wedson.
XRP, Dogecoin (Doge), Cardano (ADA) and other cryptocurrencies have experienced an important price rebound during the last weeks, mainly because it has improved the macroeconomic context.
As cryptootics has reported, the truce in the “tariff war” between the United States and China, together with the expectation of cuts in interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed), They have revived the appetite for the risk.
This is because financial speculators make their movements when the macroeconomic environment is stable and there are greater possibilities of profits. That is, without geopolitical tensions or economic turbulence, they are willing to bet on volatile assets such as cryptocurrencies.
One sample is that the assets mentioned in the first paragraph of this article have registered positive yields in the last week.
Was the previous image enough? Quiet, here is another test that the appetite for the risk is back. Two of the 5 cryptocurrencies with the highest weekly performance within the Top 100 per market capitalization are memecoins: dogwifhat (Wif) and Pepe (Pepe).
Of course, the fact that most digital assets within Top 100 per capitalization are painted green is a cause for enthusiasm for short -term investors or traders.
Even so, the recent rebound leaves a question in the environment: When will the real take -off of the Altcoins arrive?
Currently, XRP, Ada and Doge are still far from overcoming their historical maximum (ATH). For example, in the case of Ripple Labs cryptocurrency, its price is $ 2.47, 27% below its $ 3.39 ATH, reached in January 2025.
Cardano has an even larger gap and is 75% below its record of $ 3.10. For its part, the price of Doge is far (69%) of its maximum of $ 0.73.
Joao Wedson, director and founder of the Alphractal Data Analysis Platform, He thinks that These digital assets will “exploit” up to June, when you start – according to their opinion – a new Altseason.
As explained in cryptopedia, educational section of cryptooticias, the term Altseason, or Altcoins season (cryptocurrencies that are not BTC), is used to describe a period in which these digital assets record significant growth in their price.
The Altcoins season is usually a long -awaited moment by many traders, since they have the opportunity to obtain profits superior than usual. According to the website Blockchain Centerthere is an Altseason when 75% of the 50 cryptocurrencies with the greatest capitalization have better performance than BTC in 90 days.
The same site has an “Altseason Index”, a tool that indicates whether the market is going through a Altcoins season. As seen in the following graph, 73% of digital currencies with the greatest market capitalization have had a better performance than Bitcoin (BTC) in the last 90 days.
Currently, only 24% of the 50 main Altcoins have exceeded BTC’s yield in the last 90 days.
Although the index is still far from an Altseason, Wedson argues that a Altcoins season is already brewing. But the great explosion would come from June. To hold his analysis, he shares a graph that shows that 31 of 57 of these currencies exceeded BTC in the last 60 days. While it is a good performance by several of these assets, It still does not represent an absolute domain.
“Many have already reacted in recent days, so we now expect a correction of the market. But, please do not miss the next opportunity. It is expected that during the next months, the BTC domain decreases rapidly,” says Wedson.
Dominance reflects the flow of capital to BTC to the detriment of other cryptocurrencies. When the indicator is high, it is a sign that much of the money is concentrated in the currency created by Satoshi Nakamoto. On the other hand, when it is low, it shows that investors They are placing their holdings in other assets Like Doge, XRP or Ether (Eth), Ethereum’s native currency.
In recent days, BTC dominance fell from 65% to 62%.
For its part, the Spanish trader Oscar Ontañón (known in social networks as “Santino crypt”, Point out That the Altcoins market capitalization graph formed a golden cross, a technical analysis pattern that occurs when a short -term mobile average exceeds the long -term, and is usually interpreted as a long -term bullish signal.
The last time it occurred was in 2021, when there was a massive increase in the market capitalization of the Altcoins.
According to their projection, the Altcoins could register potential growth of 28,000%, which could carry the market capitalization of 1.67 billion dollars (Trillionsin English) to 46.76 billion dollars if a cycle similar to the previous one is repeated.
On the other hand, Wedson states: “Even if BTC falls in the coming weeks, most cryptocurrencies have already touched the bottom and it is unlikely that they will fall below the levels of recent prices. BTC for other assets with a stronger impulse. ”
Here it is important to stop to clarify some issues. Leaving aside the enthusiasm of the Executive, although many assets seem to have admitted to an upward rally, the reality is that they have historically proven more volatile and vulnerable every time BTC suffers strong price corrections.
In addition, the fact of rotating BTC towards ETH or a memecoin, to mention some, It is not a decision to make light. It implies getting out of the most liquidity of the ecosystem to bet on one more volatile and with less adoption. At this point, it is not a matter of yield, but also of conviction and risk tolerance.
The use of the word “conviction” is not accidental. It is that BTC is considered by many investors as a long -term value reserve, comparable to gold. Both assets share characteristics such as decentralization and resistance to censorship by governments or banks.
Moving away from BTC is also getting away from that narrative, to look for more risk and exposure to more volatile cryptocurrencies that offer greater returns.
What is missing for the next Altseason?
Wedson talked about dates but did not clarify what is missing to begin the next season of Altcoins.
The answer to this question was given by Barbara Distéfano, a cryptootic journalist, who recently published an analysis article explaining in detail Each of the stages that give rise to an Altseason.
It all starts with a massive capital entrance to BTC, which drives its price to new maximums. Once Bitcoin stabilizes, he wakes up the appetite for risk and investors begin to look for larger profits. Generally, they usually transfer their holdings to ETH, which is currently the Altcoin with the greatest market capitalization.
In fact, Santino Crypt forecast That when ETH reaches the $ 3,800 line, the Altseason will begin. “As soon as this line of trend is overcome, it will be the beginning of the Altseason,” he says. His analysis is accompanied by an Ether chart in which that resistance mentioned is seen.
At this point, it is when a fall in the BTC domain begins to be seen in the total market capitalization.
Now, what happens once Eth takes impulse? That is when capital flows to other assets of great capitalization, such as XRP, Solana (Sol), Doge or Ada. It is a phase of expansion of enthusiasm, which implies the formation of an Altseason.
That’s when speculative demand is triggered and there is euphoria in the market. In this phase, investors seek unknown or new assets that register parabolic price increases. This is when the greatest profits are recorded, although it also implies more risks, because there are no foundations that explain these yields, but it is neither more nor less than financial speculation.
For that reason, the key is to know when to retire from the market, because just as these currencies go up, They can collapse in seconds. The truth is that participating in these market cycles is comparable to a game of chance.
