At first glance, the technical analysis does not yield encouraging signals for XRP investors. But be careful, and we keep calm, because in many occasions these warnings can be a false alarm.
We go in parts to try to understand what is happening in the price of the cryptocurrency price issued by Ripple Labs.
The first thing to highlight is that on May 19, XRP formed a “cross of death” (or “crossing of death”), a pattern of technical analysis very feared by investors.
The “Cross of Death” is formed when the simple 50 -day mobile average (SMA) of a financial asset falls below its 200 -day SMA. This pattern is considered a gloomy event, because it is interpreted as Confirmation of a prolonged bearish phase.
The fact that the first paragraph of this article begins with a “with the naked eye” is no accident, but that it introduces a key fact, because what appears to be a bearish signal can have a much less dramatic technical explanation.
If the previous graph is observed, it can be seen that the formation of the “cross of death” is a consequence of an accelerated rise in the price of XRP, followed by a phase of prolonged lateralization. That is, at a graphic level The confirmation of a bearish trend is not perceivedso this signal can be false.
Therefore, before drawing hurried conclusions, it is important to investigate what is happening with XRP to project which could be the next movements.
What’s still for XRP?
The opinions of different specialists about what could happen in the remainder of 2025 with XRP are mostly bullish. Although all kinds of forecasts circulate in social networks, and some Influencers They come to talk about very high prices, such as $ 500, repeating this figure almost like a mantra to maintain confidence in the market volatility, there are projections that are more grounded and probable.
Like Jacobo Maximiliano, Exchange Bitget analyst, who argues that the Ripple Labs currency could reach a maximum of 7 dollars in this cycle. For his part, “Crypto Michael,” pseudonym of a market analyst, projects that the fourth most valuable cryptocurrency in the digital asset market will climb above $ 5.80 in 2025.
Now, what is the catalyst of the price that XRP needs to get out of that lateralization in which it is? Well, improve the macroeconomic context.
This is because financial speculators prefer a stable environment to place their holdings in risk assets, such as actions and cryptocurrencies, as Cryptonoticia explained. Otherwise, if there is economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, they will choose to seek refuge in financial instruments that are less exposed to market fluctuations, such as treasure bonds.
And to improve the macroeconomic context, it will be essential that the United States government advances in negotiations to reach a commercial agreement with the main economic powers, within the framework of the “tariff war”. If there is no white flag in this conflict, it will be difficult for the price of XRP to take off above $ 3.
The other signal that can bring euphoria to the market is that the United States Federal Reserve (FED) defines a cut of interest rates in the coming months. Although Donald Trump has been pressing to make that reduction, the president of the agency, Jerome Powell, remains firm and does not yield to the demand.
If the unforeseen event occurs next June, that the Fed announce a cut in interest rates, it will be a great driver of the XRP price. When the low interest rate also decreases the cost of indebtedness and, therefore, there is more liquidity in the system. That is when the appetite revives for the risk of investors who seek to generate greater profits.
For their part, many XRP fans and defenders are still clinging to the idea that “something big” is to come for their own foundations. Apart from the macroeconomy, they trust that other events of the XRP ecosystem could boost their medium -term price.
One of them is the launch of the Bolsa -listed funds (ETF) of XRP in the United States. As cryptootics, companies such as Grayscale, Bitwise and 21Shares have reported have submitted their requests before the Bag and Securities Commission (SEC) to launch these financial products to the market.
The launch of ETFs can increase asset exposure among institutional investors, in addition to attracting more liquidity to the Ripple ecosystem. Although the news will have a great impact for the market, This does not guarantee that it is 100% bullish for XRP. And to argue this hypothesis, it is enough to see what is happening with the ETHHER ETF (ETH), the native cryptocurrency of Ethereum, which since its debut in July 2024 has had a lower performance if compared to those of Bitcoin (BTC).
On the other hand, there are still those who argue that XRP will end up consolidating as “the cryptocurrency of the banks”, promoted by the multiple associations that Ripple has been announcing with financial entities. According to this vision, these alliances would be the main engine of the digital asset price.
However, XRP’s utility is still diffuse and the reality is that none of these alliances has translated into a massive XRP adoption in the traditional banking system. While it is true that many banks can use Ripple Payments, the platform does not require the mandatory use of XRP, which limits the impact that expansion or alliances ads have on their price.
Therefore, and beyond the enthusiasm on the part of its community, if there is no stable macroeconomic environment, it will be difficult for XRP to leave the lateral range in which it is located.
Discharge of responsibility: The views and opinions expressed in this article belong to its author and do not necessarily reflect those of cryptootics. The author’s opinion is informatively and under no circumstances constitutes an investment recommendation or financial advice.
