Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei told the public in a television speech this week, “Iran will not surrender and will not defend itself,” Iran’s bombing and Iran’s retaliation strike.
His place is not clear at all. The rumors and signs of the US and Israeli governments indicate that they can be individually targeted by an Israeli air strike at some point. If Khameni is murdered, he will share the fate of many high-ranking members of his rule, who have killed bees in recent times.
And this has inspired many people to ask – how can a rule that fails to protect its own top officials to protect Iran’s boundaries?
“Despite all the claims [by the Iranian government] Regarding the missile defense or defense of command centers, the complete inefficiency of this regime has become clear to the public, “exile Iran expert and sociologist Majid Golpour told DW.
Can this weakness bring about the collapse of Islamist rule? According to Golpour, it mostly depends on its political option.
“Now is the time to introduce a general charter for the political forces of the country – against the ruling system and against external threats. But there is no concrete plan, the opposition in the opposition is working in ideas and harassing structures,” Golpore said.
Protests in Iran were battered for decades
But it is easy to find common land that has been done. Outside Iran, opponents of governance are divided into rival groups. Shah Mohammad Reza, a group of Iranian diaspors, considers the eldest son of Pahlavi as a potential interim ruler – or at least a symbol of national unity.
Since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Prince Reza Pahalvi has been mostly living in the US and has tried to place him as a political leader and a rival to the Islamic Republic. No political organization on Iranian earth is active.
And this is not surprising – Islamist rule has been suppressing the voices inside Iran for many decades. Any person who presents a possible threat to the government is infamous, oppressed, arrested and often sent during a long prison period.
Nevertheless, a non-resident scholar of the Middle East Institute, political scientist Shukriya Bradodost, who is a US-based think tank, believes that there is a chance of political change.
Bradodost believes that a political vacuum may emerge if governance GES becomes severely weak. This will allow opposition groups to organize protests and attacks and implement widespread-causing changes.
Was Iranians made more patriots?
A decisive factor during warings is a patriotism connecting Iranians to their country. This skethe of unity helped to stabilize the Islamic rule after the 1979 revolution. When Iraq attacked Iran in 1980 under Saddam Hussain, people held a rally behind the country and continued through eight war, which cost the country to 1 million Iranian life.
The Islamist leaders are once again to support to use nationalist rhetoric.
“The Islamic Republic has admitted that people no longer consider the ‘nation of Islam’, but look at topics as Iran’s citizens. No wise person can be fooled by this nationalism,” political scientist and journalist Shahran Tabari told DW.
Although it is difficult to find out what the people of Iran feel at this time – except for fear and anger about the struggle without their consent.
Looking at Trump’s decision
Nobel Peace Prize winning Nerges Mohammadi recently called Israel to prevent its attacks and provoked a trunk in the Middle East.
“I want to ask President Trump – not only to join this war, but also to stop it,” he said in a video message conducted by US Broadcaster CNN.
Meanwhile, the West is divided without a clear strategy on Iran and a governance change. While some voices in the US, like former National Security Advisor John Bolton, asks for a military intervention, US President Donald Trump now hesitate to.
This article was the original published in German
