The world’s wealthiest person has clearly set his mind into a new startup: his own political party.
The relationship between US President Donald Trump and his top election financers continues to play out as public fractures, Elon Musk has again opposed the so -called “large beautiful bills,” to the cost and expenses and expenses and efficiency deal to incite the expenses and spends.
The Musk has gone to Musk to warn the Republican MPs, who pass the bill that he will run a candidate against them in next year’s primary.
And he threatened the broad American two-sided system with the promise that he would build a faction of his own.
“If this crazy expense bill passes, the US Party wants to form the next day,” he wrote on X. “Our country needs an option for the Democrat Republican Equipment so that people really have it.”
In fact, a competitive third party will increase for more than a century of Damocrat Republican dominance at all levels of the government.
Still some have come close, despite that dozens of minor parties have been working all over America for decades.
The Libeterian Party, established in 1971, is the third largest in the US. Election campaign for free markets, small government and personal freedom, its best presidential election with candidate Gary Johnson in 2016, which we won by nationwide votes.
But this is a long way to win the White House, a governorship or even a state legislature seats.
The Green Party is another long -running party that has run candidates in the state and federal race. Like the Liberterian, it also has no seat in the government.
Steep deck
The nature of the American political system is the “winner all” theory that uses the “post of the first past” voting system. It wins candidates with votes – almost always a Republican or Democrat.
According to Bernard Tamas, a political scientist at the Waldosta State, the US, there are other factors obstructing the success of the third party, which has widely written on the subject.
Tamas said it is fundamental to tap in popular disturbance for a third party – a large number of people who are different from current political options – and create a groundwell ground movement.
“The biggest problem with the parties is that they do not do that anger in that anger,” Tamas said. Instead, instead of parties, there is a tendency to be more desire and to be [are] In fact, not focusing on that strong urge to change. ,
If it is necessary to tap at the ground level, then there is money.
Parties spend billions of dollars to select their candidates. What was spent in the 2024 President and Congress race for Donation Watchdog, about 16 billion dollars (about € 13.58 billion).
Musk Himelfa was the largest donor in the 2023-24 election cycle. He gave more than $ 291 million (€ 247.1m) to Republican in all races.
Large -scale campaigns help war chest parties to “get out of vote” – buying advertising and promotional materials that highlight the candidates to the public and earn their votes.
This does not guarantee a win -win – Democrats spent more than Republican in 2024 – but it definitely helps.
“You need money for things like ballot access and many other things, but someone third and every time you have nothing to compete against Republican and Democrats,” said Tamas.
spoiler ALERT
Can a real third party suppress a Democrat or Republican? This is unlikely in the attitude of the tamas.
Instead of winning the seats and making long -term success, Tamas said “sting like a bee.”
“They emerge very quickly, they run a group of candidates across the country and then they cause major pain to one or both major parties,” Tamas said. “They are basically pulling votes.”
It is called the “Spiiler Effect”, where the opponent candidates often vote from the same mainstream candidate. In some cases, they can pull enough votes that a frontrner loses the lead and falls to another.
It is a fear of a third -party ground that causes major parties to change its policies to please the thesis voters.
Once a change is obtained, like a bee that immerses its prey.
“This this.”
“The most successful third party in the US lasts for almost a decade. Once they are very high threatened, the major parties started stealing their rhetoric, their ideology.”
Do American want a new party?
Not all Americans are happy with their options.
The net approval rating of Donald Trump is in the negative area, the latest of yougov Election About 3 out of 5 Americans sees the Democratic party imprisoned. In 2022, a Pew research analysis received overall support for more parties in the political system.
But this does not mean that a new party will be sluggish. A Study In May 2024, two American political scientists found “dissatisfied biased” – Republicans and Democrats were dissatisfied with their own parties – a third, the more likely to vote for the more centralist option.
Desperate with exploitation and status quo in popular anger, Tamas said, the fastest path to success. For a person like Musk, he can do well to look at the “Fight Alligarki” movement of leftist opponents such as Alexandra Okasio-Cortze and Burney Sanders, which is currently visiting America, or the original Maga movement, if he wants to start a party.
Tamas said, “To follow these good examples … exploitation in people’s complaints is really.”
“They force [major] Parties to respond by threatening their career, and their livelihood. ,
Edited by: Jess Smi
