Bitcoin recovers from USD 100,000 and faces a key resistance.
Technical analysts project a jump of up to 25%, with possible destination at $ 143,000.
The price of Bitcoin has been operating with high volatility in recent weeks. The cryptocurrency has experienced an explosive movement after briefly touched the $ 100,000 in June, while, in early July 2025, it recovered until a new historical maximum was reached.
With this rebound, technical analysts detect a key resistance in the $ 114,000 area. In fact, several strategists point out that, if Bitcoin manages to exceed that level, a strong additional escalation of up to 25%could be triggered, carrying the price up to approximately $ 143,000. This emerging rupture scenario is based on graphic patterns and favorable background factors, which has kept attentive investors.
Technical levels and key resistances of Bitcoin
In the short term, BTC faces a dynamic resistance around 110,000 and $ 114,000. How the TrainingView report makes clear, Bitcoin has been consolidating in a side channel about $ 110,000with an immediate support indicated in the 106,000.
Overcome this area, according to the analyst Ed Campbell From Rosenberg Research, he would open his way to a new upward stretch. Campbell says that breaking the $ 114,000 barrier (approximately 6% on the current price) would allow an additional upward race of around 25%, pointing at the historical level of $ 143,000.
A Market research Published in early July 2025 reinforces this idea: “Several analysts stressed that, if Bitcoin manages to break the USD 114,000, it could make way to a rise of up to 25%, around 143,000, supported by the post-halving thrust, a weakened dollar and a more favorable regulatory environment”
In other words, the traders see in the 114,000 and $ 115,000 an important offer zone, and their break would confirm a large bull run.
According to Glassnode data, $ 115,000 are emerging as the next key resistance if the rise continues. Historically, once a previous historical maximum is exceeded, setbacks usually find support at previous demand levels.
At the moment, consumer rounds They are identified around 104,000 at $ 105,000, in addition to technical support at about $ 107,500 and $ 108,000 indicated by market analysts.
To fall below these points, some analysts warn that a correction elderly. However, for now the bulls defend the 106,000 and $ 107,000 area as a key support, which keeps the possibility of a new bullish attempt intact.
Catalizers of a Bitcoin Rally at $ 143,000
The possible rebound towards $ 143,000 would not depend only on technical factors. Various macro and market catalysts are aligned with a bullish stage. Among the most important are:
- Weakened dollar: he US dollar index It has been falling more than 10% in 2025. This makes investors seek alternative assets of value reserve; BTC usually attracts flows when the dollar loses strength.
- Bitcoin halving: The phenomenon of the halving of April 2024 reduced the supply of new BTC and has been promoting demand. Historically, the months after a halving are often seen in the price of Bitcoin.
- Bitcoin ETF flows: Since the launch of the Bitcoin ETFs to the counted in 2024, the large institutional funds have injected huge flows (more than 45,000 million dollars into accumulated tickets). This growing institutional volume suggests a sustained demand that can sustain high prices.
- Expectation of feature cuts: Markets discount that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates Towards the end of the year. A lower types environment usually favor risk assets, including bitcoin.
- Positive regulatory environment: In the United States, a more friendly position towards cryptoactive is perceived, while in Europe, the Mica regulations create a harmonized framework that provides clarity and market protection. These changes reduce regulatory uncertainty and can attract more capital to the sector.
How the Mica Regulations can support the rise in the price of Bitcoin
The regulation on cryptoactive markets (Mica) This 2025 entered into force as the first comprehensive regulatory framework of the European Union for the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Its objective is to harmonize rules in all Member Stateseliminating the normative fragmentation that until now forced the exchanges to register country by country.
Mica introduces uniform norms that make the sale of cryptoactive. It also provides a coherent supervision framework and guarantees greater protection for users, both retail and institutional. This new regulatory environment promotes the confidence of the European investor and is raiding the way for greater adoption.
Thanks to obtaining the Micar license, the largest exchanges in Europe, such as Bitvavo, operate under a uniform regulatory framework that Improves user protection, guarantees transparency and eliminates the need for separate records in each country European.
Bitvavo: one of the first Micar license
The Dutch Exchange Bitvavo It stands out for being one of the favorites for European traders. It has been One of the first to obtain the Micar Licenseissued by the financial market authority of the Netherlands (AFM).
“This license represents an important milestone for Bitvavo and our users”, Said Jeetan Patel, Risk Director of the platform.“It allows us to offer our services throughout Europe under a single license, guaranteeing compliance with Micar’s regulatory requirements.“
In this context, Bitvavo does not simply remain in complying with the highest regulatory standards, but has also become the exchange with greater dominance of the European market, reaching more than 50% participation and surpassing giants such as Binance.
This combination of leadership, regulatory compliance and focus on user experience positions it as the most solid option for those operating with cryptocurrencies in Europe.
Bitvavo already had records in countries such as France, Italy, Austria and Spain. Now, with the license Micarhe is in a position to further expand his scope.
Founded in 2018 in Amsterdam, Bitvavo adds almost two million users and has established itself as the largest exchange in the market to the euros in cash, with a safe, intuitive and low -cost platform.
Short -term bitcoin perspectives
Together, technical analysis and fundamentals point to a high interest environment for the purchase of BTC. As long as the upward trend and market support are maintained (for example, the demand detected at 100,000–105,000), Bitcoin would have potential to continue rising.
A sustained month closure above $ 114,000 would be a sign of strength, opening the way to new historical maximums. If this rupture is confirmed, specialists project the level of $ 143,000 as the next objective.
However, experts remember that there is volatility and risk: sudden falls in prices or abrupt change in macro conditions (for example, an unexpected rebound of the dollar or delay in feat cuts) could stop rise.
In addition, the liquidity concentrated in certain ranges (large orders around $ 115,000) acts as a magnet for short corrections. Therefore, technical analysts recommend monitoring daily daily and weekly closures, as well as Momentum indicators (RSI, Macd) and on-chain levels (such as investor cost history).
In short, Bitcoin lives a decisive moment. It is close to a historical resistance that, to break, would catapult it to unpublished dimensions. The current technical and economic factors favor a bullish continuation: from the lower post-halving offer to the weakness of the dollar and even the arrival of a solid European regulatory framework (as the Bitvavo license proves).
For traders and investors, the level of 114,000 and $ 115,000 appears as the dividing line between a consolidation scenario and one of uprising explosion around $ 143,000.
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