President Donald Trump and his administration, as a tie tie with far-off parties across Europe, is reacting to the French national rally over Washington, as it grows in elections and expects a final victory in the country’s 2027 presidential election.
Many factors are shaping the cautious approach to the national rally towards Trump and his Maga movement, analysts say: If the French party disappears, if disappears, a ‘hegmonic’ disbelief of the United States, for a negative impact on the France of US TAF, for a strong antigia, for a strong antigen.
“Overall they have been ideologically alliances with Trump, and they have been positive about their re -election,” said Chemily Lones, head of the National Rally’s European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) Deputy Paris Office. “But they are much more carful than many other populist leaders in Europe. For example, there is a greater distance in the relationship than Germany, or Italy.”
Trump’s shadow is spread across Europe
In Germany, some obs In Italy, the hot ties with Prime Minister Georgia Meloni with the US leader have stood within the European Union, which sees him as a potential bridge to meet the relationship with Washington.
The impact of Trump administration is therefore clear elsewhere in Europe, including Hungary and Poland, both of them established the US this year, the Conservative Political Action (CPAC) hosted the Conservative Political Action (CPAC), a first Warsaw, where Trump-Andorsed Karol Navaroki won the June presidential election.
“From the American side, thesis parties are in the form of potential tools to influence European politics,” said the German Martial Fund Program Officer Zsuzsanna Vegh. “The fact is that they are euroseptic and challenge the European Union [Trump] Administration.”
Demand for votes
But the brand of the American leader has taken a risk for the national rally, analysts, even though the French’s major opposition party shared the nationalist, anti -immigration views. 1 June ECFR Poll not only saw Trump’s policies harmful to his own country, but then admitted that he damaged the United States. Among the national rally voters, only 37% considered Trump’s policies good for American citizens; Just 18% thought that they were good for French people.
Beyond the 2027 elections, “The National Rally is chasing the strategy of Vote Maximalization.” “It needs to appear as a party that is enough to die to attract voters from the mainstream – and does not separate its own voters, which is quite doubtful about Trump’s influence on France.”
Wig said the threat of massive levels on the import of the European Union – provides an example of a potential French industry and agriculture – negative decline, veg said. The national rally “may not actually appear on highly favorable terms with a leader that can damage the interests of its original, blue-collar voters.”
For the national rally leader and three -time presidential candidate Marine Le Penn, the Trump administration enacts a delicate balance act in other ways. Since inheriting the party from his father in 2011, Le Penn has spent years to broaden and diversify his base, reaching gay, Jews, small and more central-right voters-even the immigrants of the national rally remained intact. His party emerged first in the European Parliament of the European Parliament and the French National Assembly elections, although it failed to capture the majority.
Unlike other European far-flung figures, Le Penn was not invited to the inauguration of Trump. Earlier this year, his 29 -year -old Protease and President of the National Rally, Jordan Bardela, got entangled with Heavyweight Steve Bannon, who was giving a CPAC speech after Bannon appeared to make Nazi salute. Bardela’s Kadam made a sharp rebuke from the banan.
“This is a good example of the risk of being associated with Trump and his entry,” Lons of ECFR said, “In a moment when RN is working so hard in trying to normalize his image and it seems that it is subscription to go away.”
Mixed idea on trump
But when Le Penn was convicted in a march in March, which included the European Parliament – potentially submerged his presidential dialect – Trump slammed the judicial decision as a “witch hunt”. Recently, the appointment of the Trump State Department offered to bancrol the appeal of Le Penn with the US government’s funds, according to Politico and Reuters – an overcher allegedly reprimanded. (Bardela is ready to replace Le Pen as a presidential candidate, if she loses her appeal.)
Recently, the party organized a grand Senate visit to France, which in the afternoon, the national rally supporters introduced a mixed manner on the American leader and their influence. Former flight attendant Jacques Le Roy said he hopes his party to repeat the signature measures of Trump: from Tattifes and Immigration Crackdown, from large -scale government trim, which Le Roy discreded as “reducing the system”.
Hey, a thumb-up, to dilute the powers of the European Union, which the American leader has described as a birth to “screw” America. “We agree with Trump’s lots of views,” Le Roy said. “It is common that we have differences. But thoughts are the same.”
But Finance Student Noy Margunal, on a trip to the Senate, is less enthusiastic. “France and Europe are extremely tied to the United States, and are very much in my opinion,” said Margunel. “I think it is better that we take more decisions for ourselves more than living under the United States subordination.”
Transatlantic similarities
For critics of the national rally, Trump’s Washington set an example of the example. Both Le Penn and Bardela lead the election as a potential presidential candidates. Analysts and ordinary French residents wonder whether the parties ‘Republican Front’ for a long time prevents the first national rally from winning the election, finally crumal.
In Paris recently in anti -Trump protest, many expressed apprehension of a national rally victory. “Can it be here?” Since the influence of the Trump administration, French composer asked Clothild Desuxuns. “Yes. That’s why we are fighting here.”
Another protector, Kathy, resonated those concerns, with American French nationality. “I am worried about the national rally, I am very worried,” he said, fear of vengeance led to a decline in giving him the last name. “I see a lot of similarities with the United States.”
The analyst says what happens in the Atlantic, can help shape the electoral fate of the national rally. If Washington puts standing tattifies on France, or if Trump’s policies fail in a luxurious way, the party may feel afterchox, the loans said. Alternatively, he said, it can be picked up by a growing European far-flung alliance which is trying to cultivate Washington.
This is more likely, she believes that the party wants to save her. “They will keep a distance with Trump, so they were not influenced by their controversial positions,” he said, “but they will still reinforce the overall rise of distant rights throughout Europe.”
Edited by: Maran Saas, M. Cavanagh
