Russian President Vladimir Putin and his American counter part Donald Trump agreed to meet in Alaska on August 15 to discuss the war in Ukraine. The meeting was announced shortly before Trump’s ceasefire ultimatum was set to end. Although experts suspect that the summit will provide any major success, some factor may force Putin to agree to a ceasefire.
The upcoming meeting is the first time the two leaders have been coming together since the renovation of US President Trump. In mid -July, Trump said he was disappointed with Putin on bombing Russia’s Ukrainian capital Kiev, but is therefore “not yet done to him.”
The White House and the Kremlin announced the meeting after American Special Envoy Steve Witcoff visited Putin in Kremlin on 6 August, although this is uncle- what will really be discussed in Alaska.
We know that talks will focus on Ukraine, but the country will not be represented in the meeting. Washington and Moscow Ukrainian President Volodimir are not planning to attend the summit for Zelansky.
All experts interviewed the upcoming summit, expecting it mainly to benefit the Russian President.
Russia’s minister Mikhail Kasianov told DW, “Putin is always eager to ensure that he and the US President – whoever holds the office – decides the fate of the world, and that the same images are broadcast worldwide.”
Russian exile opposition politician Dimitri Gudkov said that Alaska’s meeting would give Putin a unique opportunity to join hands with one of the leaders of the West.
Gudkov said, “The only fact that Putin has a chance to meet Trump, already a huge plus”. “Trump is originally legalized a war criminal and allowing Putin to participate in a conversation with the West.”
If it was not for Trump, Gudkov said, no western leader will interact with Putin.
Why Putin is indicating openness to talk
In late July it became clear that Trump was angry with Putin’s Uling to end the fight in Ukraine. Trump announced that he was no longer interested in a conversation with Putin and gave him a 50 -day ultimatum to find a peaceful solution of Ukraine, which he later shortened for just ten days.
Experts told DW that they believe that Trump had lost patience, he might have motivated the Kremlin to agree to the upcoming negotiations.
Kiril Rosov, a political analyst who heads the Russian language online media outlet Russia again, Which publishes analysis by Russian scientists, says that many factors can force Putin, the end of Ukraine.
Rosov indicates a weak Russian economy, can damage dull advances and secondary American restrictions of Russian forces in Ukraine that can damage Russia.
“Putin hopes to extract the highest possible value for his approval at this time. By the end of the year, Putin can be in another worse situation if it gymnasts that the Russian invasive has a very little impact and the battlefield situation is unknown,” Rosov said.
In addition, US sanctions loose India as its crude oil buyer and forced it to prepare it for another aggressive in Ukraine for the third consecutive year.
Who will benefit from the ceasefire of an airspace?
US news outlet last week Bloomberg A report was published citing anonymous sources, stating that Kremlin felt that Steve Witchoff’s visit to Russia represented the final rival to reach agriculture with Trump. Bloomberg Said that Kremlin can now introduce the airspace’s ceasefire through concession.
Gudkov, however, this approach believes that Russia will have the primary benefit instead of Ukraine, coordinated with the Trump administration. Gudkov said that Ukraine has retaliated “effective” against Russia, resulting in a result of temporary closure of Russian airports on several occasions. He said that Ukraine had killed arms depots, military equipment and oil refinery in Russia.
This, he said, what is important from a psychological point of view, the war in Russian understanding is close to the house, not far, playing only on its television.
“If thesis [Ukrainian] Gudkov told DW, “The air strike stops, continuing to continue his advance land peacefully, where he benefits.”
Still Russian President Putin may not face any serious hesitation, even if the two leaders fail to make any significant progress during the upcoming Alaska talks, political analysts say Rosov.
Rozov told DW, “Putin can rely on Trump as Trump had generously said to him as Trump’s attitude towards Putin has always been special.” “Trump always avoids a situation where Putin is directly under pressure. And each time the pressure seems unavoidable, Trump announced that a new opportunity has increased to reach the agreement and requires real pressure.” He cites talks under Putin and Trump, against the Bacrop of the expired ceasefire ultimatum as an example.
Can Putin end war?
Gudkov believes that there is no actual meas left to put pressure on Russia. For example, despite restrictions, hundreds of tankers continue to transport dandruff in the oceans of the world.
Gudkov feels that a quick ceasefire is more likely to result from domestic factors that can put pressure on the craterin rather than external factors. The longer the war is, the more difficult it will be for Putin to sell it as a Russian win for Putin.
Gudkov said, “At some point, Russian will not care that Ukraine is in NATO or how this war ends – they will only care about ending it.”
This article was original in German.
