Customers in a supermarket on Avnida Rua Bolivar in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, are positively surprised at the price changes that they are experiencing in previous glimpses, as they are now paying much less for coffee and meat, for example.
“Final, Thesis is some good news in difficult times,” says Shopper Julien Freetas, while talking with DW.
His experience is not a anecdote, but a recent survey related to the Trade Union associated with the Statistics and Socio-Economic Studies (Dieese) -A research institute of the Inter-Association Department of Brazil has been resonated with a recent survey that produces scientific studies.
Compiled with the collaboration of the government agency Conb, the survey found that food prices fell in 24 out of 27 regional state capitals of Brazil in the month of August, compared to July, all became the cakes, with the search in the form of tomatoes, rice, meat and coffee.
Tutif and agrarian cycle
A part of the decline comes from specific natural cycles for agriculture, with the Agricultural Commodity Trading Platform Agodeeri in Sao Paulo, Brazil, from Agro Dies.
“There was a strong crop of coffee, which increased the supply and pushed the prices down. With beef, the livestock cycle is in a phase with a lot of cattle that are ready for the domestic market,” he told DW.
But US Tiffs are playing a role on Brazil’s imports, saying, “Earlier this year referring to US President Donald Trump’s 50% Tariq. Slides stated that excessive tariffs normally “will slow down inflation and slow competition abroad.”
As a result, American consumers will face rising prices on food items targeted by Washington’s trade measures, while the prices of the same goods were falling in productive countries.
Economist Douglas Eustacio – Group Boticario’s economist – one of the largest cosmetics in Brazil – argues that Tiffs are re -shaping supply and demand to Brazil.
Products that were partially or fully intended for the US market, told DW, now living in Brazil and “supplying domestic market,” Hey said, seeing that beef prices are adjusting more slowly, but currently trending down.
Political decline on bolsonaro test
Donald Trump’s tariff on Brazil is associated with the trial of former President Zayer Bolsoro, who was sentenced to 27 years in jail by the Supreme Court of Brazil for the coup. Washington imposed punitive tafs in response to the test, citing concerns over the oppression of opposition and free expression.
The Brazilian government, however, its judiciary is independent. The country’s leftist president, Luiz Enecio Lula da Silva, has improperly critically criticized Tafs, indicating that the US runs a business surplus with Alred Brazil.
Between January and July 2025, Brazilian exports to the US had a total of $ 23.7 billion (€ 20 billion), which was the highest for that period. At the same time, imports climbed 12.6% to $ 26 billion, leading to the US trade surplus with Brazil to $ 2.3 billion.
Economic risk from falling prices
A uniform recession in food prices is currently coming out in Mexico, where tomatoes have become quite cheaper recently.
“In this region, there is high production, and selling the producers in the north of the country [Mexican] The state rather than exporting to the United States, so the price is falling, “Javier Rayes Eskamila, president of the Livestock Association of the Middle-North Region of the state of Mexico, told Multiplateform News Group Millennio.
Brazilian economist Dirlain Silva says that when consumers in productive countries are beneficial, the outlook cannot be so bright for a long time.
“If manufacturers loosen loose access to a significant market like American, they are no longer encouraged to invest. This means that low technology, low productivity and quality have also been damaged,” he told DW.
Finally, the production can shrink, he warned, sent back the prices – this time to the obstruction of local consumers and beyond it.
This article was original in German.