It is expected that in the following months BTC will rise in price, driven by global liquidity.
Investors expect two other interest -rates cuts, which is upward for BTC.
The United States Federal Reserve (FED) cut the interest rates for the first time in 2025. An expected movement in the Bitcoin (BTC) market and cryptocurrencies, since it opens a scenario of greater global liquidity.
Despite this, the price of BTC does not still reflect a sustained rebound and today, September 22, 2025, records a fall that brings it closer to $ 112,000.
Given that scenario of sobriety, caution and some pessimism in the price of BTC, the question that this writing titles arises: will there be a last impulse for Bitcoin in 2025?
For Colombian analyst Juan Rodríguez, the Fed announcement, added to other fundamental elements, such as liquidity, They maintain the prospect of seeing new historical maximum (ATH, in English) in the price of Bitcoin in the last quarter of this year.
Rodríguez Explain that this first trimming of interest rates was already discounted by the market and that the interesting thing falls on the expectation of at least two other cuts of interest rates in the remainder of the year.
“The majority of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) presumes that two more cuts are coming. This was really the bullish on September 17,” he says.
In this way, the analyst remembers the words of Jerome Powell, president of the Federal Reserve, who states that, during the meeting, the committee participants agreed that there will be more interest rates, with estimates of 3.6% annually by the end of this year. Although he clarifies: “These individual projections are subject to uncertainty, and they are not a plan or a decision of the committee.”
Liquidity is key
On the other hand, Rodríguez argues that global liquidity is key to market impulse. “With each impulse of these upwards, the price of Bitcoin also reacts with an important increase, and that is what is expected to come in the following months,” he says.
The specialist remembers that, in previous cycles, fees cuts and monetary expansion coincided with significant increases in the price of Bitcoin in subsequent weeks.
The trader also emphasizes that the flows to the funds quoted in the stock market (ETF) of the price of Bitcoin and the increase in the issuance of stablcoins reinforce the upward scenario.
As you can see, large capital movements towards cryptocurrency exchanges in recent weeks could anticipate new institutional purchases. “I would expect those purchases to be resumed to take us to the final AH of 2025,” he says.
Technical risks on the horizon
From the technical analysis, a trader of the community of TrainingViewknown as Xanrox, identifies an ascending wedge pattern that is being formed in the price of BTC. Alert that these patterns are generally bassists, So you can expect a downward trend quite strong once this pattern is completed.
However, “right now Bitcoin is strong, and I expect a new historical maximum in the coming weeks,” he says, although he calls as “impossible” the estimates that BTC reaches the USD 300,000, USD 500,000 or even 1 million dollars towards the end of this year or in 2026.
«A much higher probability than that would be that the moon explodes or that Saturn explodes. So they can imagine it, ”he says.
In that sense, he points out that Bitcoin’s final maximum could be around $ 127,000 in this upward cycle. And, at the same time, he warns: “If this descending wedge pattern breaks down, there really is no strong support up to $ 85,000 that can prevent Bitcoin from continuing to fall.”
The professional trader Alberto Cárdenas coincides with that vision. Speaking to cryptooticia, the specialist said The BTC Alcista Phase “ends between September, October and November.”
He also argues that Bitcoin, in the very short term, “will correct close to 100,000 dollars and then attack the maximums in October and November.” Possibly, he explains, to reach the USD 130,000 ”
For the specialist, The $ 100,000 are a key level, while the 85,000 will remain as a short-median support support.
Expectations for 2025
Analysts agree that the base scenario is a last bullish impulse in the remainder of 2025. The rank of projections places Bitcoin between $ 123,000 and $ 130,000 at its maximum cycle, provided that liquidity and stability are maintained above the key support levels.
But the risks are still present. Therefore, BTC enters the decisive line of this bullish cycle with forces found: the liquidity and the cuts of fees play in favor, while technical fragility and supports determine the limits of the trend. We will see what the outcome will be.