According to an analyst, if BTC ends the day above USD 81,500, it would go to USD 87,000 soon.
The geopolitical context remains unstable and calls into question the continuity of the bullish movement.
The price of bitcoin (BTC) has exceeded $81,500 this Tuesday, May 5, 2026, reaching a point of technical convergence that could be decisive for the short-term trend.
This price, as explained by CriptoNoticias this morning, coincides with the realized value of short-term holdersan indicator that has historically delimited the resistance and support phases of the asset.
The following chart shows how the price of bitcoin has moved since May 1:
According to a report from the firm CryptoQuant, the level of the already exceeded $81,486 represents the average base cost of the coins acquired or moved during the last 155 days.
When the price of bitcoin falls below this mark, recent investors find themselves in a position of unrealized loss, which often creates selling pressure for any recovery attempts.
CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk highlights that sustained exceeding of this level could alter the market structure. A daily close above $81,500 would transform this resistance into technical supportwhich, according to its projections, could enable an advance towards objectives between $87,000 and $92,000.
But bitcoin does not depend only on technical, on-chain analysis and analyst speculation. The digital currency is greatly influenced by the global macroeconomic context. And in particular, this bitcoin price movement occurs in the midst of a high-tension geopolitical scenario.
The United States and Iran formally maintain a ceasefire, but the situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains unstable: this Tuesday the United Arab Emirates reported missile and drone attacks from Iran, the second consecutive day of incidents in the Gulf after four weeks of relative calm.
From Washington, President Donald Trump acknowledged that Iran wants to negotiate, but continues to show caution.
Brent oil fell nearly 3% to $111 on expectations that the ceasefire would hold, although it cut losses after learning of the Emirati attacks.
In this framework, the UN Security Council began debating this Tuesday a resolution promoted by the United States and Bahrain that could lead to sanctions against Iran, and even authorize the use of force, if Tehran does not stop its threats to commercial shipping in the area.
This combination of fragile ceasefire, intermittent military escalation and mounting diplomatic pressure uncertainty remains high in global markets.
In that contextbitcoin’s ability to consolidate above $81,500 should be read as an indicator of market confidence facing one of the most complex sources of tension of the year.