What will happen to the price of bitcoin in June 2026?

  • Several well-known traders expect that bitcoin will have a greater price correction in the near future.

  • On Polymarket, bettors mostly believe that bitcoin will fall below $55,000 in 2026.

The price of bitcoin (BTC) begins the sixth month of the year 2026 showing bearish signals. The price of the digital currency lost the $73,000 mark and has fallen close to 6% over the last week.

Furthermore, bitcoin is coming off a monthly bearish momentum. May 2026 closed in red with a drop of 3.41% in the price of this financial asset.

The following graph allows you to see how the price of bitcoin has behaved over the last 30 days.

Bitcoin price chart for the last 30 days.Bitcoin price chart for the last 30 days.
Bitcoin price for the last 30 days. Fountain: CoinGecko.

Based on the statistics, it is difficult to make a projection about what will happen to bitcoin in June. This is because, Since 2013, bitcoin has accumulated 7 Junes with positive returns and 6 Junes with negative returns.

As can be seen in the table below, the history is fairly even during June for both bitcoin “bulls” and “bears” (although the former have a very slight historical advantage, at least until 2025).

Chart of monthly bitcoin returns since 2013.Chart of monthly bitcoin returns since 2013.
Monthly bitcoin returns since 2013. Source: CoinGlass.

Last Thursday, May 28, 2026, CriptoNoticias published a report with the opinions of traders Willy Woo, Michaël van de Poppe and Crypto Rover. To a greater or lesser extent, all three agreed that there are high chances of further falls for bitcoin.

The most optimistic of these traders was Willy Woo, who said that bitcoin still showed a lateralization structure. Even so, he considered that if the stock market in general suffered falls, bitcoin could have greater corrections.

For its part, the most bearish of these reported traders was Crypto Rover. According to him, bitcoin is forming a bearish structure known as “shoulder-head-shoulder”. If it finishes consolidating, “all hell will break loose” on bitcoin, according to his opinion. “The great bitcoin crash is happening right now,” he said.

Who also spoke bearishly about the price of bitcoin is the trader known as “Plan B”, famous for his stock-to-flow predictive model. On the morning of this June 1, Plan B wrote in your X account:

Bitcoin closed May at $73,568. The market is evenly divided on whether February’s $60,000 was the bottom or whether the downtrend will continue. In my opinion, the data indicates that a bottom has not formed yet and that there is a greater than 50% chance that the price will decline further (below the 200-week weighted moving average of $61,000 or the ask price of $53,000).

Plan B, creator of the stock-to-flow model.

Finally, to determine the expectation of the market in general (beyond the opinions of certain influential traders on social networks) we will go to Polymarket, the main decentralized betting house in the world. Although at the time of writing there is no specific bet on the price of bitcoin in June, there is a open bet about expectations for the current year.

The image below shows that bettors assign a 55% chance of bitcoin falling below $55,000 before the end of 2026.

Odds for various bitcoin prices assigned by Polymarket bettors. Odds for various bitcoin prices assigned by Polymarket bettors.
Odds for various bitcoin prices assigned by Polymarket bettors. Source: Polymarket, screenshot.

As can be seen, general market expectations are mostly bearish. With this in mind, we could expect June to be a red month for bitcoin.

And if we look at the macroeconomic context, there would be only one possible bullish catalyst: an agreement between the United States and Iran and the war between both nations ends (or, at least, the Strait of Hormuz is unblocked and oil transport returns to normal). Although, at the moment, there are no signs that this will happen in the near future and tensions continue in the Middle East.

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