Whereas South African President Cyril Ramfosa and their Rawandan scrambles for the battle of South African Republic of Congo (DRC) for the battle in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) and East African Community (EAC) Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).
Even the one-way temporary ceasefire, which included the M23 rebel, has rarely raised the leaders in Kigali and Pretoria to allow the humanitarian access to declare humanitarian access by the Congo River coalition.
Last week, after the deaths of 13 South African soldiers near Goma at Eastern DRC, Ramposa called for a measured approach by Rwanda, indicating that South Africa is finally responsible for the Kagame to carry forward the M33 rebels).
“Without the support of Rwanda, they [M23] The rebels should not work in the way they have bees, ”Phil Clarke, the professor of international politics at the SOAS of the University of London, was reported during the M23 campaign in 2022.
South African leader Ramfosa has said that another attack on its soldiers in Eastern Congo will take place for “declaration of war”.
Meanwhile, Kagame exception to the call for an un-assured ceasefire by Ramfosa, accused the South African leader of removing the facts and said that “If South Africa prefers confrontation, Rwanda in that context Will also deal with this matter in context. “
History of disagreement
This is not the first time Rwanda and South Africa have shocked – although this can be the most public example to date.
In 2021, South Africa accused Rwanda Steering on President RamfosaAs the details about Pegasus detective-guds’ relationship came out.
In 2014, South Africa expelled the Rampan diplomats that they were vested in the murder of a rustic disgruntled, former detective boss Patrick Karegeya, who were at a luxury hotel in St. Johannesburg at a luxury hotel in Sandon.
In 2013, South African forces, supported by the United Nations, canceled the rebels associated with the M23 movement as part of the Force Intervention Brigade (FIB) at Eastern DRC.
But perhaps above these, in 2002, the then South African President Thobo led the Pretoria Peace Agreement to end the years of conflict in Eastern Congo, resulting in a loss of Rwanda.
Kagame, who was only two years in his presidential post, wanted to get a better first deal to end the rebel fight in a strategic field, which is fertile and is among the world’s richest in rare-earth material.
,[Rwanda has] Professional interests, they have agricultural land, they have agricultural interests; Many Rwanda families are very entangled in the border economy, “Clarke said, for years, many people on the border side who have not been associated with rebel groups have fallen short.
Possibility of a trumpian deal
In 25 years of power, the government of Kagame can now try to give Rwanda at least some valuable resources and other interests in Eastern DRC – and in the White House with Donald Trump, the autocratic Rawandan leader more sociable partner.
Regional expert PAN African Review Lionel Manji It is said that Trump can choose with Kagame in conflict rather than Ramposa – what for the United States – the previous American government failed to give peace: depends on:
He said, “Trump team can take a royal stance that business can only be permanent and flourish when there are conditions for peace,” he wrote, can get international support by adding America, which is international peace as Monusco Looking for – “deal” that Trump is still focusing on his foreign policy agenda.
Without our support, many people believe that the United Nations mission like Monusco in DRC is likely to fail due to lack of finance – as already under the influence of Trump’s infamy of American support projects in Africa Has seen.
In that scenario, the current SADC mission under the leadership of South Africa at DRC, who is suffering from lack of prominent personnel and arms in the already ongoing conflict, hence can separate such a case.
South Africa (not so) Cash Cow
Rwanda – One of the smallest countries in Africa – it may be that being a senior partner like America, symbolically benefit from its behalf, when another country like South Africa to make Rwanda accountable for her role in her role in struggle Trys
This type of alliance can be useful. There is a diplomatic decline in the wanvor such as one between Ramposa and Kagame.
There is a higher risk for South Africa: MBEKI in DRC. After the 2002 peace deal, many South African businesses – many have left for the government – expanded their operations in DRC and the beach is over two decades .
While the job creation and stabilizing the congregation economy could be a valid inspiration for South Africa’s participation, former President Mbeki ensured that the trade and investment tenders issued to DRC Bank directly to the tune of $ 4 billion. Are for down. Company.
Regulatory changes in DRC affecting South African business
However, not everyone believes that the government of Ramposa is purely inspired by the dollar signs:
“We know [Cyril Ramaphosa’s] Stephanie Voltors, one of the researchers and directors of OKPI in South African Institute of International Affairs in South Africa, says, “The ANC party is always so corrupt on such corrupt and economic opportunities and I don’t think that there is inspiration here. Counseling.
“South Africa wanted to join because DRC is a member of SADC, and he wanted to assist for reputation as a pepekeeper, which is South Africa with FIB in 2013.”
But there is another problem in the interests of South Africa.
“DRC has a set of new regulation about changes and localization laws. Previously, South African companies and counseling could conduct wires with low intervention“Geology and Mining expert Megan Do Ploy told DW from Johannesburg.
“But now, they like to push foreign companies to work with foreign companies for DRC. It is co-down by local institutions,” said Du Plooy.
South Africa: A weak diplomat and negotiator?
However, Voltors believe why this issue cannot actually be in the heart of this issue:
“South Africa has been incredibly bad in its formal economic diplomacy. It has never translated its comprehensive participation in children politically and military expansion,” he told DW, while many in the region The South African mining services are included, while the sector is included. “None of them are mines powered by Big South African.”
Nevertheless, the list of South African companies that have been directly or indirectly profitable since the 2002 Printer Peace Agreement, and include prominent players such as the G4 Sekikar, Vodacom, Anglogold Ashanti, D Beers and Man.
Allegations of personal interests of Ramfosa
Ramposa and many other South African industrialists have interest in some of the at least some of the companies, which is more doubled in the struggle of the country.
The Rawandan government spokesman Yolande Makolo claimed the same on X, saying that President Ramposa should “reveal personal interests in the mining you do in DRC”.
While Makolo is rarely fair, the total collapse of the status quo in Eastern DRC can be echoed back to the Johannesburg Stock Exchange at a time when the economy of South Africa is already in damage mode-a risk-a risk current President Ramposa To take up.
The same possibility is true for Kinshasa:
“Both South Africa and DRC benefits from importing goods from each other. South Africa imports a large amount of minerals from DRC each year. Conflict with mining price chain for both countries will have a major impact,” Du Ploy says.
According to privately operated, there is a significant trade volume between South Africa and Rwanda between South Africa and Rwanda, South Africa has exported about $ 122 million to Rwanda in 2022 (Negligence from Rwanda to South Africa With small imports from). Observatory of economic complexity.
However, the bets in Eastern DRC are quite high for South Africa, as Ramposa and his government’s DRC president Felix is a partner in Tiskedi, who does not publicly out of South Africa’s interests – unlike Kagame.
Edited by: Cai Nebe
