The commercial confrontation between China and the United States gives for everything, even for Polymarket to make their calculations and estimate if both powers will really reach a tariff agreement.
In this decentralized platform, driven by cryptocurrencies, he 82% of participants Bet that will reach a pact before August 12, 2025.
Until now, the volume of bets adds $ 32,000, reflecting the total amount invested in this prediction market.
Polymarket It has established itself as an indicator of expectations, not only in finance, but also in politicssuch as the war of tariffs initiated by US President Donald Trump in February against China and other countries.
The current negotiations, which seek to address key points of this dispute, began on May 10 in Geneva, Switzerland, and continue today, June 10, in Lancaster House, London.
The first day of dialogues in London lasted seven hours, and United States Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, described it as positive. While the authorities of the two nations work to reduce tensions, A trade agreement could relieve political and economic pressure at the global level.
In parallel, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) remains above $ 109,000, approaching its historical maximum of $ 111,910. This rebound reflects the optimism of the markets before a possible favorable outcome, as cryptoics reported.
However, uncertainty persists. If negotiations do not meet expectations, an event of “News sale” could trigger falls in the price of Bitcoin.
For now, markets and trainers in Polymarket closely observe each step of these conversations that They could redefine the world economic landscape.
