Since Israel launched its recent attack on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, Russian President Vladimir Putin is in touch with world leaders about the struggle.
Just after the introduction of Israel’s attacks last Friday, Putin spoke with both Iranian President Masood Pejashian and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Kremlin said.
In a statement on the Kremlin website, the Russian leader “many human casualties expressed their condolences to the Iran’s leadership and people” and “emphasized that Russia accepted Israel’s actions, which were done in violation of international law.”
The next day, Putin once again announced the operation of Israel during a phone call with US President Donald Trump, a staunch supporter from Netanyahu.
Nevertheless, despite Russia’s deep alliance with Iran, Kremlin is unlikely to provide military assistance to its strategic partner.
Moscow’s Golden Deal with Tehran
Given the economic relations between Russia and Iran, Israel’s Putin’s rebuke to attack the Islamic Republic does not come as a surprise.
Iran has been a close partner of Russia for a long time, not at least because Western democracy gives huge approval to both countries. Iran recently joined BRICS, a group of non-Western countries, helping Russia with emerging economies.
In February 2022, after Russia started his full -scale invasion on Ukraine, their relationship increased even more. Western colleagues accused Iran of supplying Russia, which was eventually used to attack Ukraine’s citizens infrastructure. According to media reports, Moscow paid for drones with at least 1.8 tonnes of gold bars, priced around $ 104 million, transferred to Iranian company Sahara Thunder. Iran has asked Russia on May to help feel its nuclear program.
Analysts believe that Moscow Wild does not want to loosen a trusted partner.
“Kremlin is acting according to an old Quranic Principal: ‘Battle and wage war, but do not commit crimes,” Ruslan Sulemanov, Cairo, a Middle East analyst in Egypt,, tells DW. “In Oth words, Moscow, which has been interested and attended in the Middle East, would prefer to avoid any kind of uncontrollable chaos in the region.”
Why is there no possibility of Russian military aid for Iran
Following the launch of Israeli attacks in Iran, the Iranian Parliament confirmed the treaty over a comprehensive strategic partnership with Russia. The deal was signed by the Presidents of both countries in January and approved by the Russian Parliament two months ago.
Despite its ambitouus name, the treaty decreases by establishing a mutual defense treaty. It does not force the ether side to provide military assistance in an attack. Instead, it is just committed to avoiding both sides to support their opponents.
The Middle East analyst Mariana Belankaya, who left Russia after the wrath of war in Ukraine and now lives in Israel, believes that Moscow is not very likely to offer Iran any direct military support, at least in any official or public capacity.
“There is no need, especially, as it is trying to restore or improve relationships with Washington, although the involvement of some back scenes cannot be denied.” Bellenkaya said.
Russia as an intermediary for Iran
Bellenkaya says that Putin is honest in his recent public proposal to act as an intermediary between Iran and his opponents. For him, Putin allegedly advised Iran’s supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, to return to the table of the conversation last year.
Trump recently said in an interview with the American news network ABC News that it was open to Russia for the mediation of Israel-Iran struggle.
Bellenkaya believes that Russia, “perhaps cannot put pressure on Iran the way America did,” as a mediator, “but it can serve as a channel of communication.”
During the indirect talks between the US and Iran in April, Russia was actually expected to play an important role in the position of the nuclear deal with Iran. Mentor Newspaper told The Moscow leg conby was as a potential destination for Iran’s highly rich uranium stockpile and thus agreed an im in an im partial arber in case of any violation in agreed. This system suggested that Russia would bring back Iran’s highly rich uranium to the country if the US signed a deal.
If the search was hit by a deal, Germany, France and UK, 2015 would loose their roles as guarantors under Iran nuclear deal that Trump expelled America in 2018.
Kremlin’s chance to move forward in Ukraine
At the same time, experts believe that the Kremlin should enjoy the west of the west from the ongoing war against Ukraine. On Tuesday, Russia started one of its deadliest attacks on Kiev in recent months, killing 14 and injuring dozens.
At the same time, G7 leaders try to deal with the Middle East growth at the group’s current summit in Canada. German Chancellor Frederick Merz had already said that the issue would “be very high on the agenda.”
Meanwhile, a meeting of June 17 between Trump and Ukrainian President Volodimier Zelancesi The G7 summit has been closed after Trump’s early departure.
Cairo -based Middle East analyst Sulemanov said that it is in the best interest of Kremlin what the American and European leaders are being distracted by what is happening in Ukraine.
“Against this background, Putin can seize the opportunity to launch an aggressive or cause any other kind of trouble,” Sulemanov said.
