President Donald Trump receives Volodymyr Zelensky at his Mar-a-Lago residence this Sunday, December 28. The leaders are currently discussing a 20-point peace plan to end the conflict in Ukraine. The meeting raises expectations of stability that could boost bitcoin (BTC) and other risk assets.
The meeting began at 1:00 pm local time, as confirmed by the White House. The dialogue focuses on security guarantees and the territorial situation in Donbas (eastern Ukraine). They also address the future of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, where Russian plans to mine Bitcoin were recently reported, as reported by CriptoNoticias.
A breakthrough in negotiations could reduce global geopolitical uncertainty. Historically, This scenario favors the equity and digital asset markets. On the contrary, it tends to put downward pressure on traditional havens such as gold and silver, which recently climbed to record levels.
Hours before the meeting in the United States, Russia launched a bombing raid on the city of kyiv. Zelensky interpreted these attacks as a sign that Vladimir Putin has no intention of seeking peace. Meanwhile, various media such as Axios they point out that Trump only agrees to these meetings when he perceives that an agreement is close.
The Trump-Zelensky meeting in the markets’ sights
American economist Ed Yardeni pointed out that a sustainable agreement would have direct implications for global economic stability. In the cryptocurrency sector, investors hope a decrease in volatility if a clear roadmap is specified.
Although the market does not assume immediate peace, investors already trade based on new resolution probabilities. Other analysts recommend monitor the behavior of the euro, the ruble and global stock markets, assets that usually anticipate large-scale diplomatic turns.
The final message emphasizes that the feeling of risk aversion (risk-off) prevails in the markets, recommending traders focus on concrete confirmations of the meeting and any specific language regarding territory and security.
Given the lack of clarity, volatility is anticipated driven by news, rather than a sustained trend of de-escalation. These analyzes illustrate how financial markets are evaluating the immediate impact of this diplomatic meeting on global stability and risk assets.
The meeting moves millions in cryptocurrencies
The meeting between Trump and Zelensky has also generated a strong activity in Polymarketa platform where cryptocurrency users bet on the outcome of future events. Data from this site shows that the public is attentive to even the smallest details of the Mar-a-Lago date.
One of the most active bets focuses on the duration of the handshake. 53% of the participants believed that The greeting will last between two and six seconds. There is also great interest in Zelensky’s clothing. Only 3% of bettors thought that the Ukrainian president would wear a suit and tie (which finally happened), a prediction that already moves $500,000.
These figures reflect how Citizens try to monetize every gesture or word of the meeting in real time.
Despite the expectation for dialogue, the bets on the end of the war show a cautious outlook. The market that analyzes a possible ceasefire in 2025 has only a 2% probability of success. This sector is the one that attracts the most money with a total of 67 million dollars at stake.
Investor confidence increases slightly when looking towards the end of 2026, where the chances of peace rise to 50%. Other issues such as the renunciation of territories or the non-entry of Ukraine into NATO keep figures very low. This data from Polymarket suggests that financial markets remain doubtful about the possibility of achieving rapid progress during this first meeting.